On July 3, Minsk celebrated the “official” Independence Day. Hundreds of thousands gathered for a late-night concert at a local war memorial. The president himself was there.
After midnight, the unheard of happened. A bomb exploded injuring at least 50 people. Strangely, the president, who was not far away, was not taken to safety by the security forces. To the contrary, he appeared at the site of the bombing within minutes. Strangely, the concert was not stopped and the festivities continued, even though another explosive device was found by the police.
The opposition unanimously condemned this act of terror and called upon the authorities to conduct fair and open investigation. The opposition expressed hope that the explosion would not result in a new wave of repressions against the opposition activists.
Both the United States and Russia offered help to investigate the accident. The Belarusian government accepted help from the latter but also did not refuse some assistance from the former.
Lukashenka in his recent interview promised not to organize witch hunt, but said that the response to the organizers of the blast would be harsh whoever they were.
I guess there’s hardly a blogger in Belarus who hasn’t commented on the bomb blast. People are guessing what happened and what consequences it would have. There are lots of different versions, but I doubt there is much sense to recapitulate them here. One is for sure. This is the first major terror act in Belarus. Even if the regime itself is not involved (and most probably, it isn’t as many prominent analysts, like Silitski and Feduta, think), there’s a damn good pretense to use this bomb blast for intimidation of the opposition. The blast is especially handy for this matter, as it happened a few days after the parliamentary race had officially started in Belarus.


who had interest in the bomb blast? the initiators target was Sheiman and his power sphere. Lukashenko fired him within four days - inclusive the head of his administration. this reflex of Batka was predictable - and the bomb worked bloody well. the profiteers of this terroristic attack are persons, who will climb up the career ladder in the security and administration structures of Belarus next weeks and months. Sheiman has built a crystal ceiling for young and ambitious hardliners - this crystal ceiling had to be destroyed.
the initiators have another clear motive: they have to speed up with their career, because the days of the regime are count - and the day Lukashenko will be out of office, many high ranked officials in Belarus will share his fate in a sudden - so they have to care for a save future after this day X.
on the first view, the bombs were produced primitive - but they were perfect, when they left no utilizable forensic traces. one must ask, which (forensic) experts in Belarus can produce such a perfect bomb - and what’s their job. on the other hand, the exploded bomb seems to be constructed and calculated perfectly. obviously it had not the purpose to kill any people - for to cause a massacre it would have been constructed another way and filled with dangerous elements. the only trace left in this attack is the constructor of the bomb. what will happen with this person?
Sheiman and his sphere of power and control is destroyed. the profiteers of the blast will substitute him and his administration structures very soon - and nobody will ever try to start investigations on this level of power … it is an absolute taboo in Belarus. Lukashenko - who must realize that the terrorists are officials on highest level - cannot substitute all of them without any waterproof evidence. the initiator prevented the autocrate from damage, because they need him and his autocratic system to remain what they are. Lukashenko knows it - and expressed it clearly after the blast with these words: Nobody, not a single enforcement agency, no governmental body will be allowed to retouch or cover up the truth about those events.
Comment by lo4ic — July 11, 2008 @ 5:53 pm
Well, we’ll never hear the truth about the explosion that has happened…and why!!! It’s the same as 911, “someone” wanted it to happen to show that “things” needed to be taken care of…and now they will be!
It’s just sad, that innocent people always get hurt, when “Big Guys” play their games!
Comment by Alex Smirnoff — July 19, 2008 @ 12:07 am